Sectional Semis
Only 11 games with Shore teams so we'll take a look at each one individually.
CJ IV
#4 Howell at #1 North Brunswick
This game is all about Howell's defense vs. North Brunswick's two playmakers. Evans Ofori and Ibrahim Kamara combined for all three goals in a 3-2 win over Marlboro, so even against solid defenses, those two can produce. But this Howell defense is better than just "good." In postseason play this year, the Rebels have allowed three goals in six games, with two goals coming against Marlboro in 5-2 SCT win and the other coming on a PK in the 78th minute of a 4-1 win over Trenton. Howell just needs to capitalize on a few of the opportunities that the Raider defense will give them and then keep the defense up. With this many playmakers on the field, these games can be decided based on mistakes moreso than great play. I expect Howell to win by a goal or two.
#6 Manalapan at #2 Rancocas Valley
Alexander Kotsas has been a Shore killer through two rounds of the tournament. He scored the game-winning goal against Brick Mem. in round one just 2:30 before the game would have gone to PKs, then scored the game-winner just 1:00 before the game would have gone to OT. Manalapan is a better team than both Jackson and Brick Mem., but that doesn't mean much if the Rancocas Valley defense continues to play this well. If they can kick the ball around a little bit, which they are capable of doing, and stay strong in the back, then they'll certainly have a shot. the problem for RV is that Manalapan's defense has been so good lately, that it's going to be hard to score on them within the 100 minutes while keeping them off the board, then go beat Jake Grinkevich in the shootout. Again, this game will be all about who breaks first. If George Quintano has space to operate, Manalapan will score at least a goal. Get ready for Howell-Manalapan IV.
CJ III
#10 Ocean at #3 Red Bank
Ocean has been road warriors this postseason, going 3-1 away from home in the SCT and states, with the only loss coming to CBA in overtime. Heading into the SCT, it was hard to get behind them because they hadn't won in a month, their best win was a 1-0 win over Wall, and in the games in which they had chances to win, they usually ended up tying. Lately though, the Spartans have been finishing their chances to help out a pretty solid defense headed by sweeper Ben Lowy. Red Bank, meanwhile has been pretty consistent with a senior-heavy team. Rob Brandt, Rob Chid, and Marty Stern Have been are the top Bucs players, but the key to this game could be Red Bank keeper Bob Neumann. He's played well in big games for them and will be the best goalie Ocean has seen during their resurgence. Ocean has been playing well enough to win thise game in the midfield, but Marty Stern is probably the best midfielder in this game. I'm undecided in this one. When I think it through, I pick Red Bank, but I have a feeling Ocean is going to keep it going. Since I'm a journalist and have no feelings, I'll take Red Bank.
#12 West Windsor North at #8 Neptune
I broke down Neptune's success against team's it is familiar with in my last post, and since I don't know much about WWPN, I don't have much to add. Neptune has the talent to beat anyone in the section and if they can get Mike Cozzetta loose a couple of times in this one, then control the middle with Brennan Fitzsimmons, Vinnie Riozzi, and Omane McKenzie, they should advance to the finals.
CJ II
#3 Manasquan at #2 Somerville
I can recall talking to Raritan coach Mike Alosco after his team lost to Somerville in the CJ II finals last year, and him telling me that Somerville was very good. A game before, Raritan had to scratch anc claw their way to a PK win over Manasquan just to get a look at Somerville. The Warriors have a lot of players back from a battle-tested team and they have the experience and talent to take down Somerville on the road. Whether or not they will is not for me to say, considering that I haven't learned enough about Somerville to make an educated comparison to Manasquan. But I like the Warriors' style of play when it comes to these do-or-die games and I think it will show well as long as they are still playing. I think the winner of this game will win the section and if you begged me for a pick, I'd lean towards Somerville, but that's just because I can't pick every Shore team to win.
#8 Shore at #4 A.L. Johnson
Shore is healthy and hungry, and they now have that big win to go with all the talent. For one half against Freehold Twp., I thought Shore looked like a team that could win CJ II. Then they fell apart in the next half. Against Rumson, they were again a different team in each half, but they were better in the second half than they were bad in the first. I still feel like they haven't played their best game yet, and I'm sure Chris Gioia would agree. Who knows? Maybe their saving their best for last. But if they bring their A-game for Johnson, they can beat them.
SJ IV
#12 TR North at #1 Washington Twp.
I've given this matchup some play in the paper because I think it's an interesting contrast considering what happened last year. These two teams played to a tie and Washington happened to survive in PKs. Both teams brought back a lot of key players this year, but Washington turned into the top seed in SJ IV while Toms River North was fortunate just to get in. Now the two teams meet again after North put together two road victories, one of them in PKs, fittingly enough. The Mariners, when healthy, are strong all over the field, with the possible exception of goalie, where they are young moreso than weak. Anthony Tamburro came through in the PKs against Cherry Hill East, and Kevin Meinert has helped carry the load. I liked them at the beginning of the year because they had the senior leadership to go with the young talent and it looks like that is finally starting to show. TR East may not survive Lenape, but I think North will give Toms River a team in the SJ IV finals.
#3 Lenape at #2 TR East
Two teams that are very similar in style and talent square off. In cases like this, it just comes down to who plays the best. I thought East played a strong game in losing to Marlboro and they took their frustrations out on an overmatched Vineland team in their first state game. They won't be able to run Lenape off the field, but they will be tough to beat if they play like they did in the second half of the Marlboro game. I haven't seen Lenape so I don't know what this one will look like, but from what I've heard and what I've seen from East lately, I like their chances to beat the Indians and go on to win this section.
SJ I
#7 Point Beach at #6 Woodbury
Looks like another deep run for the Gulls. It's funny because we always mention how weak the B Central schedule is compared to the other divisions, but it's actually Point Beach's tough schedule that gets them ready for this tournament. They play mostly Group II schools because that's what is available, and when they "play up" so to speak, they end up playing Manasquan, Point Boro, and TR East. I see them winning this game and maybe the section, but I don't know what top-seeded Salem will have to say about that.
Non Public A
#4 CBA at #1 St. Augustine
A rematch of last year's Non Public A South final should be more of the same between the two teams: close game decided late. CBA beat them last year on two late goals to get a 2-1 win. The problem CBA is going to run into at some point that they didn't have last year is that they don't have a game-breaking keeper in goal. Steve Alessio has held his own, but he needs protection. CBA has given up a goal in all but one game, and most of the time, the attack can muster up two. They will have to do so against St. Auggies, but with the Hermits out for revenge, I think the goals will be very hard to come by.
#3 Gloucester Catholic at #2 Monsignor Donovan
The Shore Conference teams are not usually the ones that get home games as the result of an light schedule, but I'm wondering if that might be the case for Donovan. I think most people around here (myself included) would rate CBA ahead of them, yet the seddings don't reflect that. So when the Griffins meet GC Tuesday, it's hard to say how the talent will stack up. With that said, Mon Don is legit. They were one-and-done last year and I'm sure the players have thought about it during their two weeks off between postseason games. I find it hard to believe that any team could be a lot better than them, but GC only has to be better for a day.
CJ IV
#4 Howell at #1 North Brunswick
This game is all about Howell's defense vs. North Brunswick's two playmakers. Evans Ofori and Ibrahim Kamara combined for all three goals in a 3-2 win over Marlboro, so even against solid defenses, those two can produce. But this Howell defense is better than just "good." In postseason play this year, the Rebels have allowed three goals in six games, with two goals coming against Marlboro in 5-2 SCT win and the other coming on a PK in the 78th minute of a 4-1 win over Trenton. Howell just needs to capitalize on a few of the opportunities that the Raider defense will give them and then keep the defense up. With this many playmakers on the field, these games can be decided based on mistakes moreso than great play. I expect Howell to win by a goal or two.
#6 Manalapan at #2 Rancocas Valley
Alexander Kotsas has been a Shore killer through two rounds of the tournament. He scored the game-winning goal against Brick Mem. in round one just 2:30 before the game would have gone to PKs, then scored the game-winner just 1:00 before the game would have gone to OT. Manalapan is a better team than both Jackson and Brick Mem., but that doesn't mean much if the Rancocas Valley defense continues to play this well. If they can kick the ball around a little bit, which they are capable of doing, and stay strong in the back, then they'll certainly have a shot. the problem for RV is that Manalapan's defense has been so good lately, that it's going to be hard to score on them within the 100 minutes while keeping them off the board, then go beat Jake Grinkevich in the shootout. Again, this game will be all about who breaks first. If George Quintano has space to operate, Manalapan will score at least a goal. Get ready for Howell-Manalapan IV.
CJ III
#10 Ocean at #3 Red Bank
Ocean has been road warriors this postseason, going 3-1 away from home in the SCT and states, with the only loss coming to CBA in overtime. Heading into the SCT, it was hard to get behind them because they hadn't won in a month, their best win was a 1-0 win over Wall, and in the games in which they had chances to win, they usually ended up tying. Lately though, the Spartans have been finishing their chances to help out a pretty solid defense headed by sweeper Ben Lowy. Red Bank, meanwhile has been pretty consistent with a senior-heavy team. Rob Brandt, Rob Chid, and Marty Stern Have been are the top Bucs players, but the key to this game could be Red Bank keeper Bob Neumann. He's played well in big games for them and will be the best goalie Ocean has seen during their resurgence. Ocean has been playing well enough to win thise game in the midfield, but Marty Stern is probably the best midfielder in this game. I'm undecided in this one. When I think it through, I pick Red Bank, but I have a feeling Ocean is going to keep it going. Since I'm a journalist and have no feelings, I'll take Red Bank.
#12 West Windsor North at #8 Neptune
I broke down Neptune's success against team's it is familiar with in my last post, and since I don't know much about WWPN, I don't have much to add. Neptune has the talent to beat anyone in the section and if they can get Mike Cozzetta loose a couple of times in this one, then control the middle with Brennan Fitzsimmons, Vinnie Riozzi, and Omane McKenzie, they should advance to the finals.
CJ II
#3 Manasquan at #2 Somerville
I can recall talking to Raritan coach Mike Alosco after his team lost to Somerville in the CJ II finals last year, and him telling me that Somerville was very good. A game before, Raritan had to scratch anc claw their way to a PK win over Manasquan just to get a look at Somerville. The Warriors have a lot of players back from a battle-tested team and they have the experience and talent to take down Somerville on the road. Whether or not they will is not for me to say, considering that I haven't learned enough about Somerville to make an educated comparison to Manasquan. But I like the Warriors' style of play when it comes to these do-or-die games and I think it will show well as long as they are still playing. I think the winner of this game will win the section and if you begged me for a pick, I'd lean towards Somerville, but that's just because I can't pick every Shore team to win.
#8 Shore at #4 A.L. Johnson
Shore is healthy and hungry, and they now have that big win to go with all the talent. For one half against Freehold Twp., I thought Shore looked like a team that could win CJ II. Then they fell apart in the next half. Against Rumson, they were again a different team in each half, but they were better in the second half than they were bad in the first. I still feel like they haven't played their best game yet, and I'm sure Chris Gioia would agree. Who knows? Maybe their saving their best for last. But if they bring their A-game for Johnson, they can beat them.
SJ IV
#12 TR North at #1 Washington Twp.
I've given this matchup some play in the paper because I think it's an interesting contrast considering what happened last year. These two teams played to a tie and Washington happened to survive in PKs. Both teams brought back a lot of key players this year, but Washington turned into the top seed in SJ IV while Toms River North was fortunate just to get in. Now the two teams meet again after North put together two road victories, one of them in PKs, fittingly enough. The Mariners, when healthy, are strong all over the field, with the possible exception of goalie, where they are young moreso than weak. Anthony Tamburro came through in the PKs against Cherry Hill East, and Kevin Meinert has helped carry the load. I liked them at the beginning of the year because they had the senior leadership to go with the young talent and it looks like that is finally starting to show. TR East may not survive Lenape, but I think North will give Toms River a team in the SJ IV finals.
#3 Lenape at #2 TR East
Two teams that are very similar in style and talent square off. In cases like this, it just comes down to who plays the best. I thought East played a strong game in losing to Marlboro and they took their frustrations out on an overmatched Vineland team in their first state game. They won't be able to run Lenape off the field, but they will be tough to beat if they play like they did in the second half of the Marlboro game. I haven't seen Lenape so I don't know what this one will look like, but from what I've heard and what I've seen from East lately, I like their chances to beat the Indians and go on to win this section.
SJ I
#7 Point Beach at #6 Woodbury
Looks like another deep run for the Gulls. It's funny because we always mention how weak the B Central schedule is compared to the other divisions, but it's actually Point Beach's tough schedule that gets them ready for this tournament. They play mostly Group II schools because that's what is available, and when they "play up" so to speak, they end up playing Manasquan, Point Boro, and TR East. I see them winning this game and maybe the section, but I don't know what top-seeded Salem will have to say about that.
Non Public A
#4 CBA at #1 St. Augustine
A rematch of last year's Non Public A South final should be more of the same between the two teams: close game decided late. CBA beat them last year on two late goals to get a 2-1 win. The problem CBA is going to run into at some point that they didn't have last year is that they don't have a game-breaking keeper in goal. Steve Alessio has held his own, but he needs protection. CBA has given up a goal in all but one game, and most of the time, the attack can muster up two. They will have to do so against St. Auggies, but with the Hermits out for revenge, I think the goals will be very hard to come by.
#3 Gloucester Catholic at #2 Monsignor Donovan
The Shore Conference teams are not usually the ones that get home games as the result of an light schedule, but I'm wondering if that might be the case for Donovan. I think most people around here (myself included) would rate CBA ahead of them, yet the seddings don't reflect that. So when the Griffins meet GC Tuesday, it's hard to say how the talent will stack up. With that said, Mon Don is legit. They were one-and-done last year and I'm sure the players have thought about it during their two weeks off between postseason games. I find it hard to believe that any team could be a lot better than them, but GC only has to be better for a day.
posted by Matt Manley at 5:01 PM
6 Comments:
Comments and breakdown are very fair and right on. Good Job Matt.
I Also agree with Shore breakdown-A team that if they show up for a full game may be able to win the CII Section. They want respect, they have to earn it today at A.L. Johnson. Go Ocean, Neptune, RBR, CBA, Shore- I coach kids on all these teams and I am very proud of them.
wwp north 2-0 over neptune
rbr 5 ocean 1
Howell won, don't know the score, just know they won
A. L. Johnson 0 Shore 1
Shore played a great game and was never in any danger of losing this game. Played Solid defense and a great posession game.
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I could feel himstiffen and start to spew his hot cum into my eager pussy. The trooper shoved his catch toward the boat.
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